Impact - Revision history

HolgerB at 19:48, 9 August 2022

2022-08-09T19:48:14Z

HolgerB at 19:42, 9 August 2022

2022-08-09T19:42:45Z

Alexk: /* Impact so far */

2022-07-29T22:22:19Z

Impact so far

Alexk: /* Impact so far */

2022-07-29T22:17:12Z

Impact so far

Alexk at 22:03, 29 July 2022

2022-07-29T22:03:35Z

Alexk at 22:03, 29 July 2022

2022-07-29T22:03:08Z

Alexk: /* Impact so far */

2022-07-29T22:01:33Z

Impact so far

Alexk: /* Impact so far */

2022-07-29T21:53:29Z

Impact so far

Alexk: /* Impact so far */

2022-07-24T02:13:54Z

Impact so far

Alexk at 20:18, 23 July 2022

2022-07-23T20:18:29Z

@@ Line 13: / Line 13: @@
 * Yale School of Management: [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4167193 "Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy"] (July 2022)
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0044-2070| last1 = Bauer| first1 = Jakob| last2 = Blickle| first2 = Paul| last3 = Ehmann| first3 = Annick| last4 = Endt| first4 = Christian| last5 = Erdmann| first5 = Elena| last6 = Grefe-Huge| first6 = Carla| last7 = Peter| first7 = Valentin| last8 = Tröger| first8 = Julius| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland| work = Die Zeit| location = Hamburg| accessdate = 2022-06-05| date = 2022-06-03| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}
-* {{Citation | year=2022 | title=Russian airlines strip jets for spare parts as Ukraine war sanctions hit industry | url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-09/russian-airlines-impacted-by-sanctions/101315094 | access-date=9 August 2022}}
@@ Line 43: / Line 43: @@
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0174-4909| last = Wagner| first = Katharina| title = Sanktionen gegen Russland: Langer Atem gegen Putin| work = FAZ.NET| accessdate = 2022-05-25| url = https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/sanktionen-gegen-russland-im-ukraine-krieg-krise-durch-die-abkehr-vieler-firmen-18056134.html}}
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0945-2095| last = Bathon| first = Roland| title = Sanktionen gegen Russland: China baut Moskwitsch 2.0 in ehemaligem Renault-Werk| work = Der Freitag| accessdate = 2022-05-28| date = 2022-05-28| url = https://www.freitag.de/autoren/der-freitag/sanktionen-gegen-russland-china-baut-moskwitsch-2-0-in-ehemaligem-renault-werk}}

@@ Line 13: / Line 13: @@
 * Yale School of Management: [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4167193 "Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy"] (July 2022)
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0044-2070| last1 = Bauer| first1 = Jakob| last2 = Blickle| first2 = Paul| last3 = Ehmann| first3 = Annick| last4 = Endt| first4 = Christian| last5 = Erdmann| first5 = Elena| last6 = Grefe-Huge| first6 = Carla| last7 = Peter| first7 = Valentin| last8 = Tröger| first8 = Julius| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland| work = Die Zeit| location = Hamburg| accessdate = 2022-06-05| date = 2022-06-03| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}
 = Energy embargo =

@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 * In June 2022, #Russia's GDP was down 4.9% year-over-year, according to the Russian Economy Ministry. [https://twitter.com/jakluge/status/1552371915909652480 via @jakluge]
   [https://twitter.com/jakluge/status/1552371915909652480 <img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FYshP1naMAENfUG?format=png&name=900x900" width="400">]
 * Russian revenues from energy export decreased by ~40% in July compared to March (EU: -50%). Still, '''EU is paying 200 to 300 mln EUR every day!''' ([https://crea.shinyapps.io/russia_counter/?tab=methodology according to CREA estimates]).
 * Russia gas export volumes down 3/4 compared to 2021, but profits are similar due to higher prices. OTOH profits are much lower than late 2021/early 2022, and decline sharply ([https://twitter.com/ben_moll/status/1540692094716588033/photo/1 via @ben_moll]):
   [https://twitter.com/ben_moll/status/1540692094716588033/photo/1 <img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FWGcePuXEAEGbvo?format=png&name=large" width="500">]

@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 * In June 2022, #Russia's GDP was down 4.9% year-over-year, according to the Russian Economy Ministry. [https://twitter.com/jakluge/status/1552371915909652480 via @jakluge]
   [https://twitter.com/jakluge/status/1552371915909652480 <img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FYshP1naMAENfUG?format=png&name=900x900" width="400">]
 * Russia gas export volumes down 3/4 compared to 2021, but profits are similar due to higher prices. OTOH profits are much lower than late 2021/early 2022, and decline sharply ([https://twitter.com/ben_moll/status/1540692094716588033/photo/1 via @ben_moll]):
   [https://twitter.com/ben_moll/status/1540692094716588033/photo/1 <img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FWGcePuXEAEGbvo?format=png&name=large" width="500">]
 * Oil import volume has been reduced by 10 billion EUR: {{Cite web| title = Europe’s Russian oil embargo: significant but not yet {{!}} Bruegel| accessdate = 2022-06-06| url = https://www.bruegel.org/blog-post/europes-russian-oil-embargo-significant-not-yet}}
 * Yale School of Management: [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4167193 "Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy"] (July 2022)
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0044-2070| last1 = Bauer| first1 = Jakob| last2 = Blickle| first2 = Paul| last3 = Ehmann| first3 = Annick| last4 = Endt| first4 = Christian| last5 = Erdmann| first5 = Elena| last6 = Grefe-Huge| first6 = Carla| last7 = Peter| first7 = Valentin| last8 = Tröger| first8 = Julius| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland| work = Die Zeit| location = Hamburg| accessdate = 2022-06-05| date = 2022-06-03| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}
-−
 = Energy embargo =
 *  {{Cite web| title = Experten: Langfristiger Gas-Lieferstopp aus Russland technisch nicht möglich | accessdate = 2022-07-19| url = https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/wirtschaft/erdgas-nordstream-wartung-102.html}}

@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
 {{DISPLAYTITLE:Impact on Russia}}
 '''In short:''' if money from energy exports are indeed not essential to continue the war, and if embargo would really hurt Europe/the West much worse than russia, then why hasn't putin cut off the supply yet?
@@ Line 13: / Line 12: @@
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0044-2070| last1 = Bauer| first1 = Jakob| last2 = Blickle| first2 = Paul| last3 = Ehmann| first3 = Annick| last4 = Endt| first4 = Christian| last5 = Erdmann| first5 = Elena| last6 = Grefe-Huge| first6 = Carla| last7 = Peter| first7 = Valentin| last8 = Tröger| first8 = Julius| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland| work = Die Zeit| location = Hamburg| accessdate = 2022-06-05| date = 2022-06-03| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}
 = Energy embargo =
 *  {{Cite web| title = Experten: Langfristiger Gas-Lieferstopp aus Russland technisch nicht möglich | accessdate = 2022-07-19| url = https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/wirtschaft/erdgas-nordstream-wartung-102.html}}

← Older revision		Revision as of 22:03, 29 July 2022
Line 1:		Line 1:
−	'''In short: if money from energy exports are indeed not essential to continue the war, and if embargo would really hurt Europe/the West much worse than russia, then why hasn't putin cut off the supply yet?~~'''~~	+	{{DISPLAYTITLE:Impact on Russia}}
		+
		+	'''In short:''' if money from energy exports are indeed not essential to continue the war, and if embargo would really hurt Europe/the West much worse than russia, then why hasn't putin cut off the supply yet?

	= Impact so far =		= Impact so far =

← Older revision		Revision as of 02:13, 24 July 2022
Line 4:		Line 4:

	* Oil import volume has been reduced by 10 billion EUR: {{Cite web\| title = Europe’s Russian oil embargo: significant but not yet {{!}} Bruegel\| accessdate = 2022-06-06\| url = https://www.bruegel.org/blog-post/europes-russian-oil-embargo-significant-not-yet}}		* Oil import volume has been reduced by 10 billion EUR: {{Cite web\| title = Europe’s Russian oil embargo: significant but not yet {{!}} Bruegel\| accessdate = 2022-06-06\| url = https://www.bruegel.org/blog-post/europes-russian-oil-embargo-significant-not-yet}}
−	* ~~Also~~, ~~2022 gas imports from Russia have been~~ lower than 2021 {{Cite news\| issn = 0044-2070\| last1 = Bauer\| first1 = Jakob\| last2 = Blickle\| first2 = Paul\| last3 = Ehmann\| first3 = Annick\| last4 = Endt\| first4 = Christian\| last5 = Erdmann\| first5 = Elena\| last6 = Grefe-Huge\| first6 = Carla\| last7 = Peter\| first7 = Valentin\| last8 = Tröger\| first8 = Julius\| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland\| work = Die Zeit\| location = Hamburg\| accessdate = 2022-06-05\| date = 2022-06-03\| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}	+	* Russia gas export volumes down 3/4 compared to 2021, but profits are similar due to higher prices. OTOH profits are much lower than late 2021/early 2022, and decline sharply: https://twitter.com/ben_moll/status/1540692094716588033/photo/1
		+	* CREA: Payments to Russia for fossil fuels: https://crea.shinyapps.io/russia_counter/?tab=methodology
		+	* {{Cite news\| issn = 0044-2070\| last1 = Bauer\| first1 = Jakob\| last2 = Blickle\| first2 = Paul\| last3 = Ehmann\| first3 = Annick\| last4 = Endt\| first4 = Christian\| last5 = Erdmann\| first5 = Elena\| last6 = Grefe-Huge\| first6 = Carla\| last7 = Peter\| first7 = Valentin\| last8 = Tröger\| first8 = Julius\| title = Energiemonitor: Teuer, klimaschädlich und abhängig von Russland\| work = Die Zeit\| location = Hamburg\| accessdate = 2022-06-05\| date = 2022-06-03\| url = https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2022-04/energiekosten-deutschland-gas-strom-benzin-energiemonitor}}

@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
 = Energy embargo =
 *  {{Cite web| title = Experten: Langfristiger Gas-Lieferstopp aus Russland technisch nicht möglich | accessdate = 2022-07-19| url = https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/wirtschaft/erdgas-nordstream-wartung-102.html}}
 * Former Putin advisor Dr Illarionov said if Western countries "would try to implement a real embargo on oil and gas exports from Russia... I would bet that probably within a month or two, Russian military operations in Ukraine, probably will be ceased, will be stopped": {{Cite news| last = Josephs| first = Jonathan| title = Full embargo on oil could stop war - ex-Putin aide| work = BBC News| accessdate = 2022-04-19| date = 2022-04-10| url = https://www.bbc.com/news/business-61040424}}
-* Oil import volume has been reduced by 10 billion EUR <ref>{{Cite web| title = Europe’s Russian oil embargo: significant but not yet {{!}} Bruegel| accessdate = 2022-06-06| url = https://www.bruegel.org/2022/06/europes-russian-oil-embargo-significant-but-not-yet/}}</ref>
+* {{Cite news| issn = 0931-9085| last = Schöneberg| first = Kai| title = Ökonom zu Stopp der Gaslieferungen: „Moskau droht eine akute Situation“| work = Die Tageszeitung: taz| accessdate = 2022-03-03| date = 2022-03-03| url = https://taz.de/!5835533/}}
 * {{Cite news| issn = 2195-1349| last1 = Gurijew| first1 = Sergej| last2 = Itskhoki| first2 = Oleg| title = Öl und Gas aus Russland: Warum ein Embargo Wladimir Putins Krieg beenden könnte| work = Der Spiegel| accessdate = 2022-03-22| date = 2022-03-22| url = https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/oel-und-gas-aus-russland-warum-ein-embargo-wladimir-putins-krieg-beenden-koennte-a-9537c522-5f56-4856-97bc-86080c2b7028}}
 * {{Cite news| issn = 0174-4909| last = Wagner| first = Katharina| title = Ökonom Sergej Gurijew: „In so einer Lage ist Putin nie zuvor gewesen“| work = FAZ.NET| accessdate = 2022-05-31| url = https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/russischer-oekonom-zum-oelembargo-duestere-zukunft-fuer-putin-18071427.html}}