Difference between revisions of "Critical analysis: vbw-study "Folgen einer Lieferunterbrechung von russischem Gas für die deutsche Industrie" (June 2022)"

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Analysis of VBW study <ref> {{Citation | vauthors=vbw | year=2022 | title=Konsequenzen eines Importstopps von russischem Erdgas | url=https://www.vbw-bayern.de/vbw/Themen-und-Services/Energie-Klima/Energie/Folgen-einer-Lieferunterbrechung-von-russischem-Gas-f%C3%BCr-die-deutsche-Industrie.jsp | access-date=28 June 2022}}</ref>:
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Our analysis of VBW study <ref> {{Citation | vauthors=vbw | year=2022 | title=Konsequenzen eines Importstopps von russischem Erdgas | url=https://www.vbw-bayern.de/vbw/Themen-und-Services/Energie-Klima/Energie/Folgen-einer-Lieferunterbrechung-von-russischem-Gas-f%C3%BCr-die-deutsche-Industrie.jsp | access-date=28 June 2022}}</ref>:
  
* Our main critique is that the gas gap is calculated as too big:
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* Our main critique is that the gas gap is calculated as too big, as in Table 5, depicted in the image.
** There is an underestimation of imports, which suddenly vanish in April
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** There is an underestimation of imports, which suddenly decrease in April/May
 
** The conversion of electricity is ignored  
 
** The conversion of electricity is ignored  
 
** No energy savings are assumed, whereas energy savings already happen
 
** No energy savings are assumed, whereas energy savings already happen
  
 
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Revision as of 21:53, 28 June 2022

This study has been cited by:

  • Deutschlands Wettbewerbsstärke: Forscher warnen vor Gaskrise – Speicher jetzt zu 60 Prozent gefüllt, retrieved 28 June 2022


Our analysis of VBW study [1]:

  • Our main critique is that the gas gap is calculated as too big, as in Table 5, depicted in the image.
    • There is an underestimation of imports, which suddenly decrease in April/May
    • The conversion of electricity is ignored
    • No energy savings are assumed, whereas energy savings already happen
  1. vbw (2022), Konsequenzen eines Importstopps von russischem Erdgas, retrieved 28 June 2022