Critical analysis: vbw-study "Folgen einer Lieferunterbrechung von russischem Gas für die deutsche Industrie" (June 2022)

From embargo
Revision as of 07:37, 29 June 2022 by HolgerB (talk | contribs)
Jump to navigation Jump to search

Media coverage of this study:


Our analysis of VBW study [1]:

  • Our main critique is that the gas gap is calculated as too big, as in Table 5 (page 44 of the study), depicted also in the image. This Table 5 is used for the core results of the study (e.g. Abbildung on page 24). There is an underestimation of imports from the Netherlands, Norway, which suddenly decrease in May/June as opposed to April, contradicting in Table 1 and Abbildung 1. "Diese gelieferten Gasmengen werden auf die zusätzlich Gesamtmengen' werden auf die gelieferten Vorjahresmengen addiert." (p. 17). If we simply take the same value progression and add the 111 TWh from additional sources from Table 1, then the gas gap ("Versorgungslücke") disappears entirely.
  • Additional critiques.


  1. vbw (2022), Konsequenzen eines Importstopps von russischem Erdgas, retrieved 28 June 2022